The safety predictions of composite armors require a probabilistic analysis to take into consideration scatters in the material properties and initial velocity. Damage initiation laws are used to account for matrix and fiber failure during high-velocity impact. A three-dimensional (3D) stochastic finite-element analysis of laminated composite plates under impact is performed to determine the probability of failure (Pf). The objective is to achieve the safest design of lightweight composite through the most efficient ply arrangement of S2 glass epoxy. Realistic damage initiation models are implemented. The Pf is obtained through the Gaussian process response surface method (GPRSM). The antisymmetric cross-ply arrangement is found to be the safest based on maximum stress and Yen and Hashin criteria simultaneously. Sensitivity analysis is performed to achieve the target reliability.

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