Reliability theory for the assessment of existing structures for remaining safe life must consider the probabilistic deterioration of structural strength as well as multiple applied loadings. This requires good-quality models of deterioration processes. Models for corrosion, which have been applied in the literature for marine applications, are reviewed. It is shown that these usually are statistical only, using data pooled from many sources. They also use little or no theoretical insight. As a result, they provide poor-quality mean-value information and very high statistical uncertainties. The conclusion is that better modeling is required and that this involves much better understanding of the factors influencing marine corrosion. These factors are reviewed briefly, with particular emphasis on marine immersion corrosion of mild steel.
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November 2003
Technical Papers
Probabilistic Models for Corrosion in Structural Reliability Assessment—Part 1: Empirical Models
Robert E. Melchers
Robert E. Melchers
Centre for Infrastructure Performance and Reliability, Department of Civil, Surveying and Environmental Engineering, The University of Newcastle, Australia 2308
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Robert E. Melchers
Centre for Infrastructure Performance and Reliability, Department of Civil, Surveying and Environmental Engineering, The University of Newcastle, Australia 2308
Contributed by the OOAE Division for publication in the JOURNAL OF OFFSHORE MECHANICS AND ARCTIC ENGINEERING. Manuscript received, January 9, 2002; final revision, January 2003. Associate Editor: A. Naess.
J. Offshore Mech. Arct. Eng. Nov 2003, 125(4): 264-271 (8 pages)
Published Online: October 1, 2003
Article history
Received:
January 9, 2002
Revised:
January 1, 2003
Online:
October 1, 2003
Citation
Melchers, R. E. (October 1, 2003). "Probabilistic Models for Corrosion in Structural Reliability Assessment—Part 1: Empirical Models ." ASME. J. Offshore Mech. Arct. Eng. November 2003; 125(4): 264–271. https://doi.org/10.1115/1.1600467
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