In redesign and design for customization, products are changed. During this process a change to one part of the product will, in most cases, result in changes to other parts. The prediction of such change provides a significant challenge in the management of redesign and customization of complex products where many change propagation paths may be possible. This paper reports on an analysis of change behavior based on a case study in Westland Helicopters of rotorcraft design; the development of mathematical models to predict the risk of change propagation in terms of likelihood and impact of change; and the development of a prototype computer support tool to calculate such information for a specific product. With knowledge of likely change propagation paths and their impact on the delivery of the product, design effort can be directed towards avoiding change to “expensive” sub-systems and, where possible, allowing change where it is easier to implement while still achieving the overall changes required.
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September 2004
Technical Papers
Predicting Change Propagation in Complex Design
P. John Clarkson,
e-mail: pjc10@eng.cam.ac.uk
P. John Clarkson
Cambridge Engineering Design Centre, Department of Engineering, University of Cambridge, Trumpington Street, Cambridge, CB2 1PZ, United Kingdom
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Caroline Simons,
Caroline Simons
Cambridge Engineering Design Centre, Department of Engineering, University of Cambridge, Trumpington Street, Cambridge, CB2 1PZ, United Kingdom
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Claudia Eckert
Claudia Eckert
Cambridge Engineering Design Centre, Department of Engineering, University of Cambridge, Trumpington Street, Cambridge, CB2 1PZ, United Kingdom
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P. John Clarkson
Cambridge Engineering Design Centre, Department of Engineering, University of Cambridge, Trumpington Street, Cambridge, CB2 1PZ, United Kingdom
e-mail: pjc10@eng.cam.ac.uk
Caroline Simons
Cambridge Engineering Design Centre, Department of Engineering, University of Cambridge, Trumpington Street, Cambridge, CB2 1PZ, United Kingdom
Claudia Eckert
Cambridge Engineering Design Centre, Department of Engineering, University of Cambridge, Trumpington Street, Cambridge, CB2 1PZ, United Kingdom
Contributed by the Design Automation Committee for publication in the JOURNAL OF MECHANICAL DESIGN. Manuscript received November 2003. Associate Editor: J. Michael McCarthy.
J. Mech. Des. Sep 2004, 126(5): 788-797 (10 pages)
Published Online: October 28, 2004
Article history
Received:
November 1, 2003
Online:
October 28, 2004
Citation
Clarkson, P. J., Simons , C., and Eckert , C. (October 28, 2004). "Predicting Change Propagation in Complex Design ." ASME. J. Mech. Des. September 2004; 126(5): 788–797. https://doi.org/10.1115/1.1765117
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