A method for solving the gas path analysis problem of jet engine diagnostics based on a probabilistic approach is presented. The method is materialized through the use of a Bayesian Belief Network (BBN). Building a BBN for gas turbine performance fault diagnosis requires information of a stochastic nature expressing the probability of whether a series of events occurred or not. This information can be extracted by a deterministic model and does not depend on hard to find flight data of different faulty operations of the engine. The diagnostic problem and the overall diagnostic procedure are first described. A detailed description of the way the diagnostic procedure is set-up, with focus on building the BBN from an engine performance model, follows. The case of a turbofan engine is used to evaluate the effectiveness of the method. Several simulated and benchmark fault case scenarios have been considered for this reason. The examined cases demonstrate that the proposed BBN-based diagnostic method composes a powerful tool. This work also shows that building a diagnostic tool, based on information provided by an engine performance model, is feasible and can be efficient as well.

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