39 Simulation of Thai Population Migration for Epidemiological Study

The simplest mathematical modelling in epidemiology called SIR model ignore population demography such as births, deaths and migration. In fact people have interaction between subpopulation and carriers of disease increase from one person to another. This research aims to simulate the migration population of Thailand. We matched emigration and immigration statistics by dividing the population of the initial district to every district by percentage. In this initial stage of the project, we simulate infected situation of metapopulation model in humans by using the real migration data of Thailand and conclude that population movement, together with births and deaths have an effect on the number of infections.