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Proceedings of the Eighth International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment & Management (PSAM)
ISBN-10:
0791802442
No. of Pages:
2576
Publisher:
ASME Press
Publication date:
2006
eBook Chapter
189 Scenarios: A Multi-Actor Decision-Making Support Tool (PSAM-0347)
By
Sandra Jsselstijn
,
Sandra Jsselstijn
DHV Environment and Transportation Amersfoort,
the Netherlands Delft University of Technology
Delft
, the Netherlands
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Willem R. Beukenkamp
,
Willem R. Beukenkamp
Delft University of Technology
Delft
, the Netherlands
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Maria J. Kuiken
Maria J. Kuiken
DHV Environment and Transportation
Amersfoort
, the Netherlands
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Page Count:
8
-
Published:2006
Citation
Jsselstijn, S, Beukenkamp, WR, Stoop, JA, & Kuiken, MJ. "Scenarios: A Multi-Actor Decision-Making Support Tool (PSAM-0347)." Proceedings of the Eighth International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment & Management (PSAM). Ed. Stamatelatos, MG, & Blackman, HS. ASME Press, 2006.
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The safety performance of complex and dynamic systems can be assessed by a probabilistic risk approach and a deterministic scenario approach. Based on a series of experiences with tunnel fires, public governance decision-making on risk acceptance and awareness in major infrastructure and transport developments, decision makers and designers are faced with limitations of the quantitative approach.
This paper focuses on the deterministic scenario approach. Scenarios of the deterministic approach describe accident processes of potential or actual sequences of events in time, in a specific context and operating environment. This paper focuses on an important difference between the deterministic scenario approach...
Topics:
Decision making
Summary/Abstract
Introduction
Scenarios: Accident Development in Time
Case Study: Train Collision at Amsterdam Central Station
Conclusion
References
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