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Proceedings of the Eighth International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment & Management (PSAM)

Michael G. Stamatelatos
Michael G. Stamatelatos
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Harold S. Blackman
Harold S. Blackman
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ASME Press
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The safety performance of complex and dynamic systems can be assessed by a probabilistic risk approach and a deterministic scenario approach. Based on a series of experiences with tunnel fires, public governance decision-making on risk acceptance and awareness in major infrastructure and transport developments, decision makers and designers are faced with limitations of the quantitative approach.

This paper focuses on the deterministic scenario approach. Scenarios of the deterministic approach describe accident processes of potential or actual sequences of events in time, in a specific context and operating environment. This paper focuses on an important difference between the deterministic scenario approach...

Scenarios: Accident Development in Time
Case Study: Train Collision at Amsterdam Central Station
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