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Proceedings of the Eighth International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment & Management (PSAM)
ISBN-10:
0791802442
No. of Pages:
2576
Publisher:
ASME Press
Publication date:
2006
eBook Chapter
171 Constructing Dynamic Event Trees from Markov Models (PSAM-0369)
By
Jason Kirschenbaum
,
Jason Kirschenbaum
The Ohio State University
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Ted Wood
Ted Wood
Idaho National Laboratory
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Page Count:
9
-
Published:2006
Citation
Bucci, P, Kirschenbaum, J, Aldemir, T, Smith, C, & Wood, T. "Constructing Dynamic Event Trees from Markov Models (PSAM-0369)." Proceedings of the Eighth International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment & Management (PSAM). Ed. Stamatelatos, MG, & Blackman, HS. ASME Press, 2006.
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In the probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) of process plants, Markov models can be used to model accurately the complex dynamic interactions between plant physical process variables (e.g., temperature, pressure, etc.) and the instrumentation and control system that monitors and manages the process. One limitation of this approach that has prevented its use in nuclear power plant PRAs is the difficulty of integrating the results of a Markov analysis into an existing PRA.
In this paper, we explore a new approach to the generation of failure scenarios and their compilation into dynamic event trees from a Markov model of the system....
Summary/Abstract
Introduction
Construction of the Markov Model: The Cell-To-Cell Mapping Technique (CCMT)
The Example System
The Dynamic Event Tree Generation Algorithm
Implementation
Conclusion
Acknowledgments
References
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