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Proceedings of the Eighth International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment & Management (PSAM)

Editor
Michael G. Stamatelatos
Michael G. Stamatelatos
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Harold S. Blackman
Harold S. Blackman
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ISBN-10:
0791802442
No. of Pages:
2576
Publisher:
ASME Press
Publication date:
2006

The societal risk in the area around Amsterdam Airport Schiphol was investigated for the period 1990–2005. Societal risk usually refers to the total area of interest. For Schiphol this would mean a square of 56 km by 56 km, so that the contribution of specific locations to the societal risk is unclear. This study therefore made use of map squares of 100 m by 100 m to provide a more detailed insight of the contribution of specific locations to the societal risk.

The most prominent populations considered in the study were those located in residential, business or industrial areas. The contributions of these individual population types to societal risk were considered on a comparative basis; considerable effort went into developing an appropriate population data set for 1990 and the current situation.

The main conclusions of the study are that: 1) since 1990 the societal risk due to air traffic has nearly doubled; 2) there is a strong geographical concentration, as 90% of the societal risk is located in 4% of the built-up areas; and 3) the increase in societal risk is mainly due to the increase in air traffic and in the number of employees in the area.

Future increases in this risk can be regulated by limiting new business or residential developments in zones with restrictions on noise and safety. Only business parks with very high population densities can result in new locations with a relatively high societal risk. This also includes locations outside the restrictions area.

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