Abstract

This paper presents a virtual patient generator (VPG) intended to be used for pre-clinical in silico evaluation of autonomous vasopressor administration algorithms in the setting of experimentally induced vasoplegia. Our VPG consists of two main components: (i) a mathematical model that replicates physiological responses to experimental vasoplegia (induced by sodium nitroprusside (SNP)) and vasopressor resuscitation via phenylephrine (PHP) and (ii) a parameter vector sample generator in the form of a multi-dimensional probability density function (PDF) using which the parameters characterizing the mathematical model can be sampled. We developed and validated a mathematical model capable of predicting physiological responses to the administration of SNP and PHP. Then, we developed a parameter vector sample generator using a collective variational inference method. In a blind testing, the VPG developed by combining the two could generate a large number of realistic virtual patients (VPs) which could simulate physiological responses observed in all the experiments: on the average, 98.1% and 74.3% of the randomly generated VPs were physiologically legitimate and adequately replicated the test subjects, respectively, and 92.4% of the experimentally observed responses could be covered by the envelope formed by the subject-replicating VPs. In sum, the VPG developed in this paper may be useful for pre-clinical in silico evaluation of autonomous vasopressor administration algorithms.

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