A model for sliding contact of a thermoelastic rod is considered and is subjected to a multiple scales analysis to uncover its nonlinear behavior near a neutrally stable state. The analysis reveals a combination of the contact resistance and frictional intensity that describes the generic unfolding of this critical state and its associated bifurcations. In particular, the system can describe how two equilibria coalesce in a saddle-node bifurcation and generalizes stability criteria that have been presented previously in the literature for this model. Moreover, this analysis describes the role of the initial deformation of the rod on its long-term dynamical behavior.

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