Here, we show that location of an upcoming rogue wave can be inferred, well in advance, from spatial distribution of energy flux across the ocean surface. We use a statistical approach, and by investigating hundreds of numerical rogue wave realizations in weakly nonlinear wave fields establish a quantitative metric via which predictions can be made. Direct simulations are performed by a higher-order spectral method (HOS), and JONSWAP distribution is used to initialize the wave field. The presented metric may establish a readily achievable measure to identify turbulent locations within a sea, through which timely preventive measures can be taken to minimize damages to lives and properties.
Prediction of Oceanic Rogue Waves Through Tracking Energy Fluxes
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Guo, Q, & Alam, M. "Prediction of Oceanic Rogue Waves Through Tracking Energy Fluxes." Proceedings of the ASME 2017 36th International Conference on Ocean, Offshore and Arctic Engineering. Volume 3A: Structures, Safety and Reliability. Trondheim, Norway. June 25–30, 2017. V03AT02A014. ASME. https://doi.org/10.1115/OMAE2017-62261
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