... Abstract This paper presents a novel framework for evaluating risk in innovative product design and development, and a product development methodology for risk identification and management. We define “risk” as the exposure to the chance of an unsuccessful product development outcome due...

..., and it employs COTS (Commercial Off the Shelf Technology) software for an inference engine. Heuristic based models are developed to evaluate risk in technology insertion. Risk elements include: budget risk, schedule risk, and performance risk. Results with an example problem are described to illustrate the fuzzy...

... of the probabilities of successful attacks to system components. The Zero Trust paradigm is applied, in which all humans part of, or external to, the system pose a security risk. The estimation of security-related probabilities enables a combined safety and security overall risk calculation for the probability...

... first step towards autonomous systems that are more resilient when facing hazardous or unknown environments. Additionally, the techniques presented here can handle large, complex problems with very minimal computational resources. computational cognition autonomy decision making risk...

... 21 03 2011 Complex system conceptual design trade studies traditionally consider risk after a conceptual design has been created. Further, one person is often tasked with collecting risk information and managing it from each subsystem. This paper proposes a method to explicitly...

... decision analysis risk uncertainty case-based training product platform Product development decisions in the early stages of the development process critically impact life cycle cost and revenue potentials. Design for Manufacturability tools and methods provide key insights...

... Distributed Decision Making Negotiation Global Coordination Risk In a distributed environment, multiple stakeholders working on a common design project are usually at different geographical locations and with different organization cultural. In order to resolve the conflicts...