This paper will quantify the estimation of the future cost of electricity after a closure of German nuclear power plants by the year 2022. This closure would result in the loss of 21 GW, which represents in a German power grid a loss of approximately 140 TWh.

The estimation will be done by the Long Run Marginal Cost (LMRC) method, developed at the Czech Technical University in Prague (CVUT) using representative values, in which the marginal costs are considered equal to the measured costs at the power plants which would be built in the future to cover the energy shortage.

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