The methodology and selected models used for assessing the frequency of aircraft crashes to critical surface facilities are examined. The DOE Standard model is the basis for comparing other models, particularly those used to assess risk to DOE facilities. The NRC methodology is relevant for nuclear power plants. A rigorous physical model that describes the Markov chain of events and their related probabilities that lead to aircraft hazards to ground facilities is developed. The chain of events is then quantified to provide a basis for comparison and evaluation of mathematical models. It is evident that all quantitative models for aircraft crash frequency assessments are constrained by the limited statistical database available for supporting such risk assessments. Aircraft crashes to critical facilities are rare events, and this condition limits experimental data and verification efforts.
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12th International Conference on Nuclear Engineering
April 25–29, 2004
Arlington, Virginia, USA
Conference Sponsors:
- Nuclear Engineering Division
ISBN:
0-7918-4689-X
PROCEEDINGS PAPER
Assessing Aircraft Hazards to Nuclear Facilities
Gary M. Sandquist,
Gary M. Sandquist
U.S. Military Academy, West Point, NY
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D. Shannon Sentell, Jr.
D. Shannon Sentell, Jr.
U.S. Military Academy, West Point, NY
Search for other works by this author on:
Gary M. Sandquist
U.S. Military Academy, West Point, NY
D. Shannon Sentell, Jr.
U.S. Military Academy, West Point, NY
Paper No:
ICONE12-49384, pp. 333-337; 5 pages
Published Online:
November 17, 2008
Citation
Sandquist, GM, & Sentell, DS, Jr. "Assessing Aircraft Hazards to Nuclear Facilities." Proceedings of the 12th International Conference on Nuclear Engineering. 12th International Conference on Nuclear Engineering, Volume 3. Arlington, Virginia, USA. April 25–29, 2004. pp. 333-337. ASME. https://doi.org/10.1115/ICONE12-49384
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