Abstract

The monitoring and diagnostics of Industrial systems is increasing in complexity with larger volume of data collected and with many methods and analytics able to correlate data and events.

The setup and training of these methods and analytics are one of the impacting factors in the selection of the most appropriate solution to provide an efficient and effective service, that requires the selection of the most suitable data set for training of models with consequent need of time and knowledge.

The study and the related experiences proposed in this paper describe a methodology for tracking features, detecting outliers and derive, in a probabilistic way, diagnostic thresholds to be applied by means of hierarchical models that simplify or remove the selection of the proper training dataset by a subject matter expert at any deployment.

This method applies to Industrial systems employing a large number of similar machines connected to a remote data center, with the purpose to alert one or more operators when a feature exceeds the healthy distribution.

Some relevant use cases are presented for an aeroderivative gas turbine covering also its auxiliary equipment, with deep dive on the hydraulic starting system.

The results, in terms of early anomaly detection and reduced model training effort, are compared with traditional monitoring approaches like fixed threshold.

Moreover, this study explains the advantages of this probabilistic approach in a business application like the fleet monitoring and diagnostic advanced services.

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